2016 REPORT: Overall Golfer Performance By State
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2016 REPORT: Overall Golfer Performance By State

2016 REPORT: Overall Golfer Performance By State

Where do the Best Golfers Live and Play?

To answer that question an analysis was performed using from data from TheGrint’s database of golfers. To gather our data we took representative samples from the USA and the world. The sample is comprised of  ~20,000 golfers and ~400,000 18 hole round scores.

For the Rounds Per Year graph we only used golfers who were active on TheGrint golf stat tracking application during 2015.

We selected the top 20 states by representation and one additional World group, which is defined as everyone outside of the USA.

Our purpose is to identify the states, based on the data, in which golfers show better performance. However, we must also point out that golfers who take advantage of TheGrint’s robust stat and handicap tracking capabilities, may not fit the profile of the so-called average golfer.

Average Handicap by State

grint-hcp-state-1
The objective of this graph is to compare average performance by state. You might expected to see warmer climate states on top of the chart, however, for a second year in a row, that is not the case.

  • Ohio retains the number 1 spot for a second year in a row with an average handicap of  14.9. Ohio is followed closely by Minnesota and South Carolina; both in the low 15’s.
  • Despite their favorable weather conditions Florida and California are above the average handicap performance of 16.5.

What is uncertain is whether this is a result of the difficulty of the courses of a state, or whether this is a direct result of the ability of the players in a state. We would be interested in hearing the opinions of the readers in the comments section.

Single Digit Handicappers

grint-hcp-state-2

One powerful argument against the first graph is that an average may not be a good enough metric to measure which states have the best golfers. As an alternative we decided to identify the percent of Single Digit Handicap Players by State.  As expected, we had very similar results as the previous chart.

  • Ohio is on top of the the chart with 28.2% of golfers being Single Digit Handicap Players.
  • It is also interesting to see that almost 1 in every 4 golfers are Single Digit Handicap Golfers.

This seems high, and frankly, while this could be the actual number, it could also be because our data comes from TheGrint. We might assume that golfers who are most likely to focus on tracking their games, are also more likely to be better players.

Regardless, the intention of the graph is to compare states and for that purpose this data would still apply.

Avg Rounds per Year by State

grint-hcp-state-3

Finally, we wanted to understand why golfers in warmer states do not generally perform better than the average.

Our first thought was, are they playing more golf? How much more?

So we run the data to figure out how many rounds are played on average on each state. For this exercise we used only golfers who were active on TheGrint Golf GPS and Handicap Tracker for the full year. This helped to ensure a normalized data set.

  • The average active golfer from this data set plays 16.4. Notice that we say “Active Golfer” and this might not represent the average golfer.
  • FL is on top of the chart as expected with 25.1 rounds per year. Golfers in Colorado play the least in our top 20, with the average golfer playing just 14.4 rounds per year.

As noted, golfers in Florida and Arizona play more golf than everyone else. In fact, Florida golfers play 50% more than the average, so why is it that FL golfers do not perform better than the average when they get to be on the course more?

Food for thought, we think.

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      Frank Capitano

      8 years ago

      Ohio is ranked number 1. I guess Jason Day really skews that number……my guess is there are only serious golfers in Ohio versus more seniors in the warmer climates.

      Reply

      Eddie Ray Neaux

      8 years ago

      Orlando, that’s where many pros live.

      Reply

      Michael Woods

      8 years ago

      Madison, al but only because I live there and crown myself the best

      Reply

      DHooker

      8 years ago

      Being from MI, I am surprised we did so well, considering the pace of play in my golf league.

      And then there are our “friends” from OH, stabbing at us every chance they get. May not like them, but we got to respect them.

      Seriously, from the courses I’ve played in OH, some of them around Findlay, Lima and Cincinnati, they are very challenging, even the “muni” courses, this makes the Ohio golfer a better player in the long run.

      Reply

      Joe Simmons

      8 years ago

      Is there something like this for the UK?

      Reply

      Jason Smith

      8 years ago

      Awesome article, Thanks for sharing

      Reply

      Andrew

      8 years ago

      In Minnesota we love golf and take it seriously. Last I checked we have the most golfers (per capita) of any state. The season is short, so we maximize it… Also there could be a correlation between golf and hockey (and baseball) wich we tend to play, regardless, in spite of, or because of the weather.

      Reply

      George Sakadales

      8 years ago

      Most guys where I play don’t have handicaps and shoot in the 70s

      Reply

      Jules Coleman

      8 years ago

      Most guys where I play are handicapped by their play and stop their rounds when they have registered 70 or so shots (by their counting). Most did well enough in math in school but display a lack of interest in rule governed behavior and an amazing lack of facility with numbers and counting on the golf course — even before the golf refreshment cart makes it way to them!

      Reply

      Steve

      8 years ago

      Age is likely a big factor as many have pointed out. Another is that course ratings are done by state affiliated teams. While the rating process is standardized, there is room for small philosophical differences which could affect ratings in a state.
      It would be interesting to mine data from GHIN since that database at least in principle includes peer review. Also you could compensate for state differences by looking at scores posted in that state by out of state players.

      Reply

      Max

      8 years ago

      FL and cali have a ton of retired people too, they may be throwing off the charts as they are more likely to not have distance or steady hands. This would be a better conversation if it did age groups. Best players under 45 maybe. I bet that would change the landscape dramatically.

      Reply

      Jules Coleman

      8 years ago

      I obviously have too much time on my hands to be responding to this one. Sometimes it’s a burden having been trained as a philosopher, though I realize that most of the time it is just a pain in the ass for everyone else to deal with. That said, the main problem is that the question is ambiguous at best. It could mean, which state has the largest number of very good golfers (as judged by index); or it could mean, which state has the greatest percentage of its golfers that are very good (again as judged by index). That said, whatever the question, there is the further issue of what kind of information would be relevant to answering it. Frankly, the evidence offered is inadequate to draw any useful inference and misleading. Otherwise it’s fine.

      Reply

      David Balmer

      8 years ago

      Well said Jules Coleman. Inferring “facts” from data is always a tenuous excercise. The variables are simply too great. Now if one were to seek the best private club golfers between the ages of 55 and 65 playing from the same tees on their same course, “as measured by a consistent handicap index (adjusted for common factors such as slope) and derived from input that is independently verified,” then there might be something to look at, but then what is the point exactly. Does Country Club “A” have golfers who score more proficiently than club “B” in a given time frame? Who cares. In a Ryder Cup type match between the two clubs, one is likely to be Europe, and one the USA with respect to results. So how do you m,easure team chemistry?
      The beauty of golf (sports?) is that on a given day or in a given event, someone outperforms someone else or an entire field. The results are relevant only for that match or that event and have no meaning with respect to the next match or event. Thus the number one ranked player in the world wins relatively infrequently and occasionally misses a cut. Last week’s winner may be this week’s chump.
      By the way, unless one plays all over the country under different course conditions (hills, grasses, green speeds, etc.) even a honest handicap is highly subjective. Try moving from rye grass fairways and bent grass greens at elevation to Bermuda throughout a course at sea level. The first round (or four) sees scores skyrocket, as even the simplest of pitches become exercises in futility and inconsistency. Does familiarity breed contempt in golf as well as relationships? You bet!

      Reply

      Michael Doherty

      8 years ago

      The Grint is a free handicapping site. I have to wonder about the type of people using it. I would think income would generally be lower at a free handicapping site. People would be most likely NOT to belong to a golf course or a playing club where they can handicap through their club.. It seems more golfers would fit that demographic in a state like Ohio? A lot of other questions could follow from that. Are wealthier golfers more likely to cheat than blue collar golfers? Because its a more “independent” system, would people inflate scores more because their club members or buddies are not watching them as closely? On and on the questions flow…………….

      Reply

      David W

      8 years ago

      I’ve seen WAY too many people manipulate their handicaps to ever put any validation into something like this. Some want a lower handicap for ego but more often than that I see them manipulated upwards for more favorable local tournament results when handicaps are used.

      Reply

      Ringerte

      8 years ago

      Really interesting, and as Clay mentioned…age should be a consideration. Also, if they put a minimum amount of rounds per individual, which normally relates to the Handicap. There are definitely some exceptions.

      Reply

      Gordon

      8 years ago

      The sample size of players in each state should also be taken into account.
      If Ohio has only say, 100 people using the app, and NJ has significantly more, then the numbers would skew.

      Maybe that is being factored in here, Im not sure.

      Reply

      RollTheRock

      8 years ago

      Yes. Florida has year round golf which caters well to sticking with the game. If you try to play in Ohio for a summer, and don’t really get good, then winter comes, are you really itching to try again next summer? In Florida there is never an off season, never 4 months+ where you can forget about the game, so you can have a lot more mediocre to poor golfers sticking around because, well, golf.

      Reply

      Brian

      8 years ago

      Index Is better indicator of the player’s ability. Handicap has course difficulty mixed in, not part of what you are trying to measure.

      Warm states may have more old golfers whose skills are waning. You might want to normalize by age. You might also want to keep college golf teams and aspiring pros out of your statistics.

      I am surprised by the variation. I see a few clubs that attract competitive players. But an entire state?

      Reply

      talljohn777

      8 years ago

      There is a Handicap Index and a Course Handicap. Everything above is about a person’s handicap index, not their course handicap as you have misstated.

      Reply

      blawrence

      8 years ago

      I’ve been playing golf for 50 years, and never heard of The Grint. I just downloaded it because of the excellent reviews. However, it would be interesting to see if there is a difference in your statistics as compared to GHIN handicap data.

      Reply

      leandean

      8 years ago

      I too have been playing 50+ and I’ve never heard of it. No one I know at the local course has either. Kinda disrupts your stats I would say. BTW This is Western Washington state and we can play basically all year. We don’t melt ;=)

      Reply

      Clay Causey

      8 years ago

      Florida resident here. We live on a course and play four local courses beside ours. Number one factor vs handicap…age!

      Reply

      Gisle Solhaug

      8 years ago

      I would guess the lack of performance by Florida Golfers, despite playing a large number of rounds can be explained by two factors:
      Age, a lot of retired people live in Florida. Most of these players have passed their peak.
      Snowbirds, a lot of rounds in Florida are played by retired people visiting in the winter. This gives a high number of rounds played.

      Reply

      Bigtazz

      8 years ago

      Very interesting article.
      Not saying its good or bad, but I wonder how difficult the avg courses being played up north are compared to the southern courses?
      Usually the southern courses are played year round and those up north are only playable 6-8 months a year.

      Tazz

      Reply

      Ashton C Plumley

      8 years ago

      Ohio, represent! Now if only I could be in that percentage…lol. One of these days!

      Reply

      Martin Tsai

      8 years ago

      Demographics?

      For example, golfers in CA, FL are older and more than those in OH?
      Why better scores when play less?

      Reply

      RAT

      8 years ago

      Well Tennessee isn’t much on golf by the charts , but we have country music, wildcat whiskey !
      I guess that can ruin a golf outing or—– make it interesting.

      Reply

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